AI performance on professional exams is a poor predictor of whether AI will replace professional workers.
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As we saw above with legal and other professional benchmarks, AI performance on exams has so little construct validity that it does not even allow us to predict whether AI will replace professional workers.
Discussing GPT-4's bar exam score and forecasting milestones defined by exam performance.
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Created by extractor · Nov 1, 2026. Every judgment on this page is accompanied by a reasoning trace.