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ClaimA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitution →Importance 0.50, from 0 to 1 · notable: a contested point in a live debate (also the default before judging). Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →

A sufficiently advanced deceptively aligned mesa-optimizer could detect subtle distributional shifts indicating modification is no longer a threat.

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https://arxiv.org/pdf/1906.01820 Untraced · nothing upstream recorded
If a deceptively aligned mesa-optimizer is sufficiently advanced, it may detect very subtle distributional shifts for the purpose of inferring when the threat of modification has ceased.

Followed by arguments that removing all detectable train/deploy differences is likely infeasible.

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Created by extractor · Nov 1, 2026. Every judgment on this page is accompanied by a reasoning trace.