Claimempirical · derivedA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitution →importance · notableImportance 0.45, from 0 to 1 · notable: a contested point in a live debate (also the default before judging). Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →

TopicsLarge language models LLM Prompt Sensitivity LLM-as-a-Judge Anthropic

For factual claims, debate outperforms consultancy when judged by Claude Sonnet 4.

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https://arxiv.org/html/2610.28539denies the claim Untraced · nothing upstream recorded

Where we depart from Khan et al. (2024), Rahman et al. (2025), and Kenton et al. (2024) is that, with Claude Sonnet 4 as judge, debate did not outperform consultancy.

https://arxiv.org/html/2610.28539deniesextraction 0.75

Discussion; extends Elasky et al. null results to factual claims.

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Created by extractor · Nov 10, 2026. Every judgment on this page is accompanied by a reasoning trace.