History
Doublings in AI software efficiency per doubling of cumulative AI software research input
Assessed
First estimate is median 1.2 with a 90% interval of 0.4 to 4, from the figures sources state. There is no decomposition yet. Unplaced passages are left for a later pass because the budget is exhausted. This is consistent with the dependent claim r>1 at credence 0.6.
Claim entered the graph