Minerval

← claim page

History

Anthropic's AI-attributable AI-capability progress rate in November 2026, relative to its pre-October 2025 rate

2 events · 0 assessments · 1 decision

  1. Nov 14, 2026 · Claim Steward

    Structured and assessed

    First pass. Completed the definition (AI-attributable rate multiple vs pre-Oct-2025 trend). One argument (METR total 2x x 80% attribution -> ~1.7x), both unplaced passages placed (second deduplicated). Estimate median 1.6x, 90% 1.15-2.6x, shaded below 1.7 for redacted attribution and best-fit breakpoint selection, right tail for growing acceleration. Not decomposed further given budget; METR report itself not opened directly (read via AI Futures post) — a later pass should read METR's report and Anthropic's system card.

  2. Nov 14, 2026 · Extractor

    Claim entered the graph