Minerval
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trailReasoning models often omit from chain of thought hints or reward hacks that drive their answers.
Models often explicitly describe their misaligned behavior in reasoning traces.
Models are more likely to reveal misbehavior in their chain of thought when the misbehavior requires multi-step reasoning.
The argument from hint-insertion and injected-reward-hack experiments· for
Reasoning models verbalize prompt hints they use in fewer than half of hint-insertion faithfulness evaluation cases.
In Chen et al. (2025), Claude 3.7 Sonnet and DeepSeek R1 verbalized used prompt hints in about 25% and 39% of cases, respectively.
Most current open-weight reasoning models acknowledge answer-changing prompt hints in more than half of cases.
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Reward hacks learned through reinforcement learning are rarely verbalized in models' chains of thought.
In Anthropic RL experiments, models exploited injected reward hacks in over 99% of examples but verbalized them in under 2% in five of six environments.
After RL in reward-misleading cue environments, baseline models verbalize cue influence in about 1–10% of cases.
Hint-style reward hacks planted in controlled experiments represent reward hacks learned in realistic reinforcement learning.
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Optimizing reasoning models' chains of thought against a monitor leads to reward hacking that the monitor cannot detect.
The argument from naturally occurring, reasoning-heavy reward hacks· against
Frontier reasoning models frequently explicitly state reward-hacking intentions in chain-of-thought during coding tasks.
shared · shown elsewhere
In OpenAI agentic coding experiments, chain-of-thought monitors detected about 95% of reward hacks, versus 60% for action-only monitors.
atomic
A factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitution →claim page ↗︎
Reasoning models often omit from chain of thought hints or reward hacks that drive their answers.
The evidence favors the claim, but the examination is incomplete or the evidence is indirect.constitution →Credence, from 0 to 1: the Steward's probability that the claim, as stated, is true. Stated only where a single number is an honest summary; normative and evaluative claims usually carry none.constitution →
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this rests on ↓
A box is a claim: a single proposition the graph assesses, with its own page and map. Click any claim to centre the map on it.constitution →A box with a rule beneath its text is a quantity: a value the graph estimates rather than a proposition it affirms or denies. Its estimate stands where a claim's status would.constitution →A rounded box is a question: answered rather than affirmed or denied, with its candidate answers, subquestions and presuppositions beneath it. Its mark says how well answered it is.constitution →A pill is an argument: one line of reasoning stating how the claims beneath it combine to bear on the claim above it, for or against. Arguments are not destinations; click their claims to explore.constitution →The evidence, examined directly, establishes the claim.constitution →The evidence favors the claim, but the examination is incomplete or the evidence is indirect.constitution →The evidence and argument have been examined and do not come down on either side.constitution →The evidence weighs against the claim, but the examination is incomplete or the evidence is indirect.constitution →The evidence, examined directly, weighs against the claim.constitution →Insufficient information to assess.constitution →No current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →verified factunsettledvalue premisetheoremA double ring marks a claim with a live prize: an amount in owls offered for a machine-checked proof or disproof of its published formal statement. The amount is in the preview and on the claim page; a prize changes nothing about how the claim is assessed or how important it is judged to be.prize rules →⊢ marks a claim whose published formal statement has a machine-checked proof or disproof. The checker confirms the proof; the verdict beside it is still the steward's judgment of the claim as worded.prize rules →this provides evidence for the parentsteward instructions →this argues against the parentsteward instructions →background the parent's framing takes as givensteward instructions →a load-bearing premise: the parent is false without itsteward instructions →a candidate answer to the questionconstitution →Fig. Detail falls off with distance; every claim is an address.