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QuantityA factual claim that could be checked directly against observation or primary records.constitution →Importance 0.30, from 0 to 1 · minor: narrow or largely settled, cheap to get right. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →

Agreement rate between two human expert graders on GDPval pairwise comparisons of the same deliverables

Measures
Expected agreement between two randomly sampled human expert ratings of the same GDPval task's pairwise (AI vs human) comparison
Population
GDPval gold-subset tasks graded by at least two human experts
Conditions
As measured in the GDPval paper (OpenAI, 2025)
Unit
a share, shown as a percentage

Not yet estimated.

Estimates

Each figure a source states for this quantity, in its own words, under the argument it belongs to and read against the graph's estimate.

Not yet placed under an argument
GDPval: Evaluating AI Model Performance on Real-World Economically Valuable Tasks“average human-automated grader agreement was 65.7% and human inter-rater agreement was 70.8%.”

Grey band: the graph's estimate, with its central value as a line. Dark marks: each source's own figure. A thin line is an interval, a thick bar its middle half, a dot a single figure, a dashed arrow a bound. An open box is where an argument places the value.

Decomposition

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Provenance

Where this quantity's evidence comes from. The figures sources state are under Estimates above.

1 source · no origin · 1 untraced

1 Untraced

GDPval: Evaluating AI Model Performance on Real-World Economically Valuable TasksOct 2025 · states Untraced · nothing upstream recorded
average human-automated grader agreement was 65.7% and human inter-rater agreement was 70.8%.
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Created by claim_steward · Nov 4, 2026. Every judgment on this page is accompanied by a reasoning trace.