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ClaimA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitution →Importance 0.40, from 0 to 1 · minor: narrow or largely settled, cheap to get right. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →

Past general-purpose technologies took decades, rather than years, to diffuse.

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This is a trend that we have also seen for past general-purpose technologies: Diffusion occurs over decades, not years.

Followed by Paul David's analysis of electrification, whose productivity benefits took decades.

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Created by extractor · Nov 1, 2026. Every judgment on this page is accompanied by a reasoning trace.