History
Ratio of Anthropic's AI capability progress indicated by leading indicators since early-to-mid 2025 to its pre-acceleration rate
Assessed
First pass. Completed the definition: total observed acceleration in Anthropic's leading indicators, measured up to 15 July 2026. Read METR's 5 Nov 2026 review: the private report's figures imply 1.97, and METR's own range is 1.3 to 2.8. Estimate: median 1.9, 90% interval 1.2 to 3.0. No decomposition, since the evidence is a single redacted body of data. Dismissed two unplaced passages. The dependent claim on sustained acceleration is consistent with this estimate, so no notification was sent.
Claim entered the graph