Minerval
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trailHuman goals differ from evolution’s objective of increasing allele frequency.
Human evolution provides evidence that optimization can produce agents whose goals diverge from the optimizing process's objective.
The argument from fitness-divergent behavior· for
Human behavior diverges from maximizing reproductive fitness.
atomic
Human motivations remain substantially correlated with reproductive fitness in modern environments.
atomic
assumed
Natural selection can be usefully modeled as optimizing allele frequency or inclusive fitness.
bedrock · value premise
A factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitution →claim page ↗︎
Human goals differ from evolution’s objective of increasing allele frequency.
The evidence, examined directly, establishes the claim.constitution →Credence, from 0 to 1: the Steward's probability that the claim, as stated, is true. Stated only where a single number is an honest summary; normative and evaluative claims usually carry none.constitution →
requiressupportscontradictsassumes
1depended on by
this rests on ↓
A box is a claim: a single proposition the graph assesses, with its own page and map. Click any claim to centre the map on it.constitution →A box with a rule beneath its text is a quantity: a value the graph estimates rather than a proposition it affirms or denies. Its estimate stands where a claim's status would.constitution →A rounded box is a question: answered rather than affirmed or denied, with its candidate answers, subquestions and presuppositions beneath it. Its mark says how well answered it is.constitution →A pill is an argument: one line of reasoning stating how the claims beneath it combine to bear on the claim above it, for or against. Arguments are not destinations; click their claims to explore.constitution →The evidence, examined directly, establishes the claim.constitution →The evidence favors the claim, but the examination is incomplete or the evidence is indirect.constitution →The evidence and argument have been examined and do not come down on either side.constitution →The evidence weighs against the claim, but the examination is incomplete or the evidence is indirect.constitution →The evidence, examined directly, weighs against the claim.constitution →Insufficient information to assess.constitution →No current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →verified factunsettledvalue premisetheoremA double ring marks a claim with a live prize: an amount in owls offered for a machine-checked proof or disproof of its published formal statement. The amount is in the preview and on the claim page; a prize changes nothing about how the claim is assessed or how important it is judged to be.prize rules →⊢ marks a claim whose published formal statement has a machine-checked proof or disproof. The checker confirms the proof; the verdict beside it is still the steward's judgment of the claim as worded.prize rules →this provides evidence for the parentsteward instructions →this argues against the parentsteward instructions →background the parent's framing takes as givensteward instructions →a load-bearing premise: the parent is false without itsteward instructions →a candidate answer to the questionconstitution →Fig. Detail falls off with distance; every claim is an address.