By mid-2028, an AI model will end-to-end train its successor, at least as a non-frontier proof of concept.
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In terms of timing, I don’t expect this to happen in 2026. But I think we could see an example of a “model end-to-end trains it successor” within a year or two - certainly a proof-of-concept at the non-frontier model stage, though frontier models may be harder (they’re a lot more expensive and are the product of a lot of humans working extremely hard).
Written May 2026; 'within a year or two' means roughly by mid-2027 to mid-2028.
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