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KindShowingImportancePrizesTopicClimate Change3 results

Claims about climate change and global warming, including climate science, observed and projected impacts, and mitigation or adaptation. Use narrower tags for specific climate mechanisms or policies when those are central.

Accuracy gain of human judges under AI debate versus AI consultancy on contested COVID-19 and climate claims, in percentage points
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →QuantityA quantity: a value the graph estimates rather than a proposition it affirms or denies. Its estimate stands where a claim's status would.constitution →AI DebateCOVID-19importance · minorImportance 0.35, from 0 to 1 · minor: narrow or largely settled, cheap to get right. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →
AI debate improves human judges' confidence calibration over AI consultancy on contested COVID-19 and climate claims.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →empirical · derivedA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitution →AI DebateCognitive PsychologyCOVID-19importance · minorImportance 0.35, from 0 to 1 · minor: narrow or largely settled, cheap to get right. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →
Two-sided AI debate improves human judges' accuracy on contested COVID-19 and climate claims over single-AI consultancy.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →causalA claim that one thing brings about another, not merely that the two go together.constitution →AI DebateCognitive PsychologyCOVID-19importance · notableImportance 0.50, from 0 to 1 · notable: a contested point in a live debate (also the default before judging). Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →

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