Claims
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KindShowingImportancePrizesTopicCollatz conjecture
The open conjecture that iterating the map n → n/2 for even n and n → 3n+1 for odd n on any positive integer eventually reaches 1. Claims about its truth, falsity, partial or computational results, and closely related generalized 3n+k maps belong here; other integer conjectures do not.
For almost all N in natural density, the Collatz orbit of N drops below N.
VerifiedThe evidence, examined directly, establishes the claim.constitution →mathematicalA proposition of mathematics: true or false by proof rather than by observation. Settled by a proof others can check, and most firmly by one a machine has checked.constitution →Number theoryLogarithmic densityimportance · settledImportance 0.15, from 0 to 1 · settled: uncontested, so low even when much depends on it. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →
For all sufficiently large x, more than x^0.84 integers up to x have Collatz orbits reaching 1.
VerifiedThe evidence, examined directly, establishes the claim.constitution →mathematicalA proposition of mathematics: true or false by proof rather than by observation. Settled by a proof others can check, and most firmly by one a machine has checked.constitution →Number theoryKrasikov's difference inequalitiesimportance · settledImportance 0.18, from 0 to 1 · settled: uncontested, so low even when much depends on it. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →
Proving the Collatz conjecture is at least as difficult as proving Baker's theorem on linear forms in logarithms.
SupportedThe evidence favors the claim, but the examination is incomplete or the evidence is indirect.constitution →evaluativeA judgment of worth or quality against some standard: good, fair, effective.constitution →Number theoryBaker's theoremimportance · minorImportance 0.30, from 0 to 1 · minor: narrow or largely settled, cheap to get right. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →
For any function f tending to infinity, almost all N in logarithmic density have Collatz orbit minimum below f(N).
VerifiedThe evidence, examined directly, establishes the claim.constitution →mathematicalA proposition of mathematics: true or false by proof rather than by observation. Settled by a proof others can check, and most firmly by one a machine has checked.constitution →Number theoryLogarithmic densityimportance · minorImportance 0.25, from 0 to 1 · minor: narrow or largely settled, cheap to get right. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →
Tao's theorem that almost all Collatz orbits attain almost bounded values has a complete, axiom-clean Lean 4 formalization.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →empirical · derivedA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitution →Formal proof verificationimportance · minorImportance 0.30, from 0 to 1 · minor: narrow or largely settled, cheap to get right. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →
The map assigning to each residue class modulo 2^k its first k Collatz parities is a well-defined bijection onto the 2^k parity patterns.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →mathematicalA proposition of mathematics: true or false by proof rather than by observation. Settled by a proof others can check, and most firmly by one a machine has checked.constitution →Number theoryCollatz parity vectorsimportance · settledImportance 0.12, from 0 to 1 · settled: uncontested, so low even when much depends on it. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →
The 3x+1 counting functions restricted to residue classes modulo 3^k satisfy Krasikov's system of difference inequalities.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →mathematicalA proposition of mathematics: true or false by proof rather than by observation. Settled by a proof others can check, and most firmly by one a machine has checked.constitution →Number theoryKrasikov's difference inequalitiesimportance · settledImportance 0.10, from 0 to 1 · settled: uncontested, so low even when much depends on it. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →
The lower bound on |2^n − 3^m| implied by the weak Collatz conjecture is far weaker than the bound Baker's theorem gives.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →mathematicalA proposition of mathematics: true or false by proof rather than by observation. Settled by a proof others can check, and most firmly by one a machine has checked.constitution →Gaps between powers of 2 and 3Number theoryBaker's theoremimportance · settledImportance 0.20, from 0 to 1 · settled: uncontested, so low even when much depends on it. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →
All known proofs that the Collatz map has no m-cycles for small m rely on Baker's theorem on linear forms in logarithms.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →empirical · derivedA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitution →Number theoryBaker's theoremGaps between powers of 2 and 3importance · settledImportance 0.15, from 0 to 1 · settled: uncontested, so low even when much depends on it. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →
The absence of nontrivial Collatz cycles implies a nontrivial lower bound on |2^n − 3^m| for all natural numbers n, m.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →mathematicalA proposition of mathematics: true or false by proof rather than by observation. Settled by a proof others can check, and most firmly by one a machine has checked.constitution →Number theoryGaps between powers of 2 and 3importance · settledImportance 0.20, from 0 to 1 · settled: uncontested, so low even when much depends on it. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →
Every positive integer's Collatz orbit eventually reaches 1.
SupportedThe evidence favors the claim, but the examination is incomplete or the evidence is indirect.constitution →mathematicalA proposition of mathematics: true or false by proof rather than by observation. Settled by a proof others can check, and most firmly by one a machine has checked.constitution →Number theoryimportance · notableImportance 0.50, from 0 to 1 · notable: a contested point in a live debate (also the default before judging). Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →
Every positive integer up to 2^71 has a Collatz orbit reaching 1, verified by computation.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →empirical · derivedA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitution →Number theoryimportance · settledImportance 0.20, from 0 to 1 · settled: uncontested, so low even when much depends on it. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →
No positive integer has an unbounded Collatz trajectory.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →mathematicalA proposition of mathematics: true or false by proof rather than by observation. Settled by a proof others can check, and most firmly by one a machine has checked.constitution →Number theoryimportance · minorImportance 0.35, from 0 to 1 · minor: narrow or largely settled, cheap to get right. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →
The only cycle of the Collatz map on the positive integers is the trivial cycle 1, 4, 2.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →mathematicalA proposition of mathematics: true or false by proof rather than by observation. Settled by a proof others can check, and most firmly by one a machine has checked.constitution →Number theoryimportance · minorImportance 0.35, from 0 to 1 · minor: narrow or largely settled, cheap to get right. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →
For random odd N, the 2-adic valuation of 3N+1 is geometrically distributed with mean 2.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →mathematicalA proposition of mathematics: true or false by proof rather than by observation. Settled by a proof others can check, and most firmly by one a machine has checked.constitution →Number theoryProbabilistic Collatz dynamicsimportance · settledImportance 0.15, from 0 to 1 · settled: uncontested, so low even when much depends on it. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →
For almost all N, Col_min(N) is below N^θ for any fixed θ greater than log3/log4 ≈ 0.7924.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →mathematicalA proposition of mathematics: true or false by proof rather than by observation. Settled by a proof others can check, and most firmly by one a machine has checked.constitution →Number theoryLogarithmic densityimportance · settledImportance 0.20, from 0 to 1 · settled: uncontested, so low even when much depends on it. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →
For almost all N, Col_min(N) is below N^θ for any fixed θ greater than 0.869.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →mathematicalA proposition of mathematics: true or false by proof rather than by observation. Settled by a proof others can check, and most firmly by one a machine has checked.constitution →Number theoryimportance · settledImportance 0.18, from 0 to 1 · settled: uncontested, so low even when much depends on it. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →
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