Claims

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4 results

Claims about deliberately entertaining reasons one's favored conclusion could be wrong ('consider the opposite' and similar counterfactual-consideration strategies) as a cognitive debiasing technique, including its effectiveness in reducing confirmation bias and overconfidence. Excludes external, institutional critique (Independent adversarial review) and the existence/manifestation of the biases

Showing arguments for both answers improves human accuracy when the AI model's answer is incorrect.

UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →empirical · derivedA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitution →Cognitive Psychology Artificial intelligenceimportance · minorImportance 0.40, from 0 to 1 · minor: narrow or largely settled, cheap to get right. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →

Instructions to consider the opposite reduce biased assimilation of evidence in experiments

UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →empirical · derivedA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitution →Cognitive Psychology Confirmation biasimportance · minorImportance 0.25, from 0 to 1 · minor: narrow or largely settled, cheap to get right. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →

Deliberately considering reasons a favored conclusion could be wrong reduces confirmation bias and overconfidence

SupportedThe evidence favors the claim, but the examination is incomplete or the evidence is indirect.constitution →empirical · derivedA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitution →Confirmation biasimportance · minorImportance 0.35, from 0 to 1 · minor: narrow or largely settled, cheap to get right. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →

Listing reasons contradicting one's chosen answer improves the calibration of confidence judgments

UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →empirical · derivedA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitution →Cognitive Psychology Confirmation biasimportance · minorImportance 0.25, from 0 to 1 · minor: narrow or largely settled, cheap to get right. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →

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