Claims

Search the graph by meaning. Each result carries its current verdict; open one to see its decomposition, provenance, and the reasoning behind the assessment.

2 results

Claims reporting surveys, polls, or structured elicitations of what experts (researchers, clinicians, practitioners) believe or estimate on a question — including probability assignments, degrees of agreement, and how opinion varies by discipline. Covers the survey result itself, not the object-level question the experts are asked about.

Most theoretical computer scientists believe that P is not equal to NP.

UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →empirical · verifiableA factual claim that could be checked directly against observation or primary records.constitution →P versus NP problem Computational complexity theoryimportance · minorImportance 0.25, from 0 to 1 · minor: narrow or largely settled, cheap to get right. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →

In a 2024 survey of 168 experts (mostly epidemiologists and virologists), respondents on average assigned substantially higher probability to a zoonotic origin of SARS-CoV-2 (~77%) than to a lab-leak origin (~21%).

VerifiedThe evidence, examined directly, establishes the claim.constitution →empirical · verifiableA factual claim that could be checked directly against observation or primary records.constitution →SARS-CoV-2 origin Virologyimportance · minorImportance 0.35, from 0 to 1 · minor: narrow or largely settled, cheap to get right. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →

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If a claim here is wrong, or missing evidence, open it: every claim page carries its own entry for challenges, evidence, and corrections. If the graph is missing a claim or a question entirely, propose it below. A proposal is reviewed on its wording; accepted proposals are matched against the graph before they enter it.