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ShowingImportancePrizesTopicKakeya conjecture18 claims

The conjecture in Euclidean geometry and harmonic analysis that Besicovitch sets — containing a unit line segment in every direction — must have full Hausdorff dimension. Claims about its truth, partial results, proofs, or which other conjectures depend on it belong here.

Any counterexample to the three-dimensional Kakeya conjecture must be a grainy set.
SupportedEvidence favors the claim, but the chain is incomplete or the sources are secondary.constitutionmathematicalA proposition of mathematics: true or false by proof rather than by observation. Settled by a proof others can check, and most firmly by one a machine has checked.constitutionWang–Zahl methodHarmonic analysisimportance · settledImportance 0.20, from 0 to 1 · settled: uncontested, so low even when much depends on it. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution
Every three-dimensional Kakeya set has Hausdorff and Minkowski dimension at least 2.5.
VerifiedThe claim traces to reliable primary sources through a clear chain of evidence.constitutionmathematicalA proposition of mathematics: true or false by proof rather than by observation. Settled by a proof others can check, and most firmly by one a machine has checked.constitutionimportance · settledImportance 0.15, from 0 to 1 · settled: uncontested, so low even when much depends on it. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution
Every Kakeya set in R^n has Hausdorff dimension at least (n+2)/2 (Wolff's 1995 bound).
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitutionempirical · derivedA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitutionHarmonic analysisimportance · settledImportance 0.15, from 0 to 1 · settled: uncontested, so low even when much depends on it. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution
The Wang–Zahl proof of the three-dimensional Kakeya conjecture can be adapted to prove the conjecture in higher dimensions.
SupportedEvidence favors the claim, but the chain is incomplete or the sources are secondary.constitutionempirical · derivedA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitutionHarmonic analysisimportance · minorImportance 0.30, from 0 to 1 · minor: narrow or largely settled, cheap to get right. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution
Extending the Wang–Zahl method to Kakeya in dimensions four and higher faces primarily technical rather than fundamental obstacles.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitutionempirical · derivedA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitutionHarmonic analysisWang–Zahl methodimportance · minorImportance 0.30, from 0 to 1 · minor: narrow or largely settled, cheap to get right. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution
The restriction, Bochner–Riesz, and local smoothing conjectures each imply the Kakeya conjecture.
VerifiedThe claim traces to reliable primary sources through a clear chain of evidence.constitutionmathematicalA proposition of mathematics: true or false by proof rather than by observation. Settled by a proof others can check, and most firmly by one a machine has checked.constitutionHarmonic analysisimportance · minorImportance 0.25, from 0 to 1 · minor: narrow or largely settled, cheap to get right. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution
The proof of the three-dimensional Kakeya conjecture is a once-in-a-century mathematical result.
SupportedEvidence favors the claim, but the chain is incomplete or the sources are secondary.constitutionevaluativeA judgment of worth or quality against some standard: good, fair, effective.constitutionWang–Zahl methodHarmonic analysisimportance · minorImportance 0.25, from 0 to 1 · minor: narrow or largely settled, cheap to get right. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution
The three-dimensional Kakeya conjecture was a central open problem in harmonic analysis for about fifty years.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitutionempirical · derivedA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitutionHarmonic analysisimportance · settledImportance 0.15, from 0 to 1 · settled: uncontested, so low even when much depends on it. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution
The jump from two to three dimensions is the hardest step in resolving the Kakeya conjecture in all dimensions.
SupportedEvidence favors the claim, but the chain is incomplete or the sources are secondary.constitutionevaluativeA judgment of worth or quality against some standard: good, fair, effective.constitutionHarmonic analysisimportance · minorImportance 0.25, from 0 to 1 · minor: narrow or largely settled, cheap to get right. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution
The Kakeya set conjecture remains open in dimensions four and higher.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitutionempirical · derivedA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitutionHarmonic analysisimportance · settledImportance 0.20, from 0 to 1 · settled: uncontested, so low even when much depends on it. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution
Every set of delta-tubes pointing in delta-separated directions satisfies the polynomial Wolff axioms in every dimension.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitutionempirical · derivedA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitutionHarmonic analysisPolynomial Wolff axiomsConvex Wolff axiomsimportance · settledImportance 0.15, from 0 to 1 · settled: uncontested, so low even when much depends on it. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution
The convex Wolff axioms version of the Kakeya conjecture fails in dimensions four and above.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitutionempirical · derivedA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitutionHarmonic analysisConvex Wolff axiomsimportance · settledImportance 0.20, from 0 to 1 · settled: uncontested, so low even when much depends on it. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution
The three-dimensional Kakeya conjecture has been proved: every three-dimensional Kakeya set has dimension three.
VerifiedThe claim traces to reliable primary sources through a clear chain of evidence.constitutionempirical · derivedA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitutionHarmonic analysisimportance · minorImportance 0.30, from 0 to 1 · minor: narrow or largely settled, cheap to get right. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution
A small-volume union of tubes in R^3 whose points lie in tubes pointing in three quantitatively different directions clusters into rectangular slabs (grains) at an intermediate scale.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitutionempirical · derivedA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitutionWang–Zahl methodHarmonic analysisimportance · settledImportance 0.15, from 0 to 1 · settled: uncontested, so low even when much depends on it. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution
The Fourier restriction conjecture implies the Kakeya conjecture.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitutionempirical · derivedA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitutionHarmonic analysisFourier restriction conjectureimportance · settledImportance 0.20, from 0 to 1 · settled: uncontested, so low even when much depends on it. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution
The mathematical community accepts the Wang–Zahl proof of the three-dimensional Kakeya conjecture as correct.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitutionempirical · derivedA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitutionWang–Zahl methodMathematicsHarmonic analysisimportance · settledImportance 0.20, from 0 to 1 · settled: uncontested, so low even when much depends on it. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution
Hong Wang and Joshua Zahl posted an arXiv preprint in February 2025 claiming a proof of the three-dimensional Kakeya set conjecture.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitutionempirical · derivedA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitutionHarmonic analysisWang–Zahl methodimportance · settledImportance 0.12, from 0 to 1 · settled: uncontested, so low even when much depends on it. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution
There exists a planar set of arbitrarily small (zero) area through which a unit line segment can be rotated through every direction
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitutionempirical · derivedA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitutionimportance · settledImportance 0.20, from 0 to 1 · settled: uncontested, so low even when much depends on it. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution

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