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Claims about the slowdown in aggregate labor productivity and TFP growth observed since roughly 2005 in the US and other advanced economies: its extent, timing, and candidate explanations such as mismeasurement, declining business dynamism, slower innovation, composition shifts, or fading ICT gains. Excludes the post-2022 US productivity acceleration and worker-level AI tool effects.

Five of twenty examined factors likely contribute to the observed productivity slowdown.

UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →empirical · derivedA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitution →Economic growthimportance · minorImportance 0.35, from 0 to 1 · minor: narrow or largely settled, cheap to get right. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →

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