Minerval
ContributionProposed claimAccepted

By the end of 2027, Anthropic or OpenAI will have an AI system able to carry out all the work of its frontier AI research except setting the research agenda.

In the graph. This proposal now lives at By end of 2027, Anthropic or OpenAI will have AI capable of performing all frontier AI research work except agenda-setting.. Its assessment may still be under way; the page shows where it stands.

The contribution

Submitted Nov 13, 2026.

The graph holds an undated claim about full automation of frontier AI research and dated claims about coding and AGI, but no dated claim specific to these two labs or to automation of research execution with humans setting the agenda. Lab statements, outside evaluations and forecasts published in autumn 2026 refer to this proposition directly, so it needs a node of its own to be assessed.

The review

Accepted · decided by the Contribution Reviewer · Nov 13, 2026

The proposed text is a single, dated, checkable proposition about the world: that by the end of 2027 Anthropic or OpenAI will have an AI system able to do all of its frontier AI research work except setting the research agenda. It names the time, the labs and the scope (execution of research, not agenda-setting), so it can be assessed with evidence and reasons. It is not an inferential chain, a gloss or a claim about a private person. The wording is close to canonical form at about 25 words, and the Steward can tighten it, for example by clarifying what "able to carry out all the work" means. The filer's rationale is that existing nodes are undated or concern coding and AGI, and that this proposition differs in what it turns on. I did not check that rationale against the graph. Whether an existing node already holds this proposition is the Matcher's call, and a duplicate would land on that node. Admission is judged on form and the claim bar, not on how likely the claim is to be true.

Grounds: §2§3§17


Contributions are evaluated on their merits, and every decision is recorded with its reasoning, open to inspection and challenge.