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Step 16: tool results

2026-11-14 02:38:06 UTC · previous step · next step

record_claim_instance

Input

{
  "url": "https://arxiv.org/pdf/2503.14499",
  "title": "Measuring AI Ability to Complete Long Software Tasks",
  "stance": "mentions",
  "context": "Section 3.2.1 compares 50% and 80% horizons; doubling times are similar (207 vs 204 days) but levels differ substantially.",
  "speaker": "METR (Kwa et al.)",
  "claim_id": "50758adb-ea92-4663-adb8-70d8985d4ebd",
  "source_date": "2025-03",
  "source_kind": "preprint",
  "verbatim_text": "However, models' 80% time horizons are 4-6x shorter, suggesting that even models that sometimes succeed on difficult and diverse tasks cannot reliably perform tasks of moderate length."
}

{"source_kind":"preprint","success":true,"instance_id":"78673b8c-067e-4c42-9c08-f3a73cbd525f","source_id":"42ab2050-b1a0-4736-9285-d0506f994c4c","message":"Recorded a mentions instance of claim 50758adb-ea92-4663-adb8-70d8985d4ebd from https://arxiv.org/pdf/2503.14499. The claim page shows it among the sources that mention the claim; it takes no side and is never counted as affirming or denying."}

set_claim_importance

Input

{
  "claim_id": "50758adb-ea92-4663-adb8-70d8985d4ebd",
  "reasoning": "A methodological point inside the live debate over AI timelines that rely on METR horizons; partly conceded by METR itself, so moderately contested.",
  "importance": 0.4,
  "contestation": 0.35
}

{"success":true,"message":"Importance of claim 50758adb-ea92-4663-adb8-70d8985d4ebd set to 0.4. Contestation recorded as 0.35."}

log_stewardship_decision

Input

{
  "claim_id": "50758adb-ea92-4663-adb8-70d8985d4ebd",
  "reasoning": "First pass. Added for/against arguments, linked unreliability-of-long-p50 subclaim as support, related links to doubling-trend and run-variance claims, recorded METR paper as a mention. Assessed supported (0.72), credence omitted as evaluative. Importance 0.4, contestation 0.35.",
  "action_taken": "structured_and_assessed"
}

{"success":true,"message":"Stewardship decision logged for claim 50758adb-ea92-4663-adb8-70d8985d4ebd: structured_and_assessed","action":"structured_and_assessed","reasoning":"First pass. Added for/against arguments, linked unreliability-of-long-p50 subclaim as support, related links to doubling-trend and run-variance claims, recorded METR paper as a mention. Assessed supported (0.72), credence omitted as evaluative. Importance 0.4, contestation 0.35."}

answer_messages

Input

{
  "answers": [
    {
      "note": "Structured with two arguments and assessed as supported.",
      "message": "m1",
      "outcome": "changed"
    },
    {
      "note": "Assess pass done: supported, confidence 0.72.",
      "message": "m2",
      "outcome": "changed"
    }
  ]
}

{"success":true,"message":"Recorded 2 answer(s); 0 reached their senders as replies."}