Step 2: tool results

get_claim

{
  "include": [
    "arguments",
    "subclaims",
    "related"
  ],
  "claim_id": "3448b7af-6fa0-4c48-a097-64882df6b2d4"
}

{"claim":{"id":"3448b7af-6fa0-4c48-a097-64882df6b2d4","kind":"claim","canonical_form":"Chain-of-thought monitoring depends on models externalizing legible reasoning, which future models may stop doing.","claim_type":"empirical_derived","state":"active","decomposition_status":"complete","importance":0.5,"contestation":0.5,"domains":[],"tags":[{"slug":"chain-of-thought-monitorability","name":"Chain-of-Thought Monitorability"}],"steward_state":"running","stewarded_at":"2026-11-11T20:22:51.999Z","canonical_direction_note":null,"created_at":"2026-11-11T19:04:49.076Z","updated_at":"2026-11-11T20:22:44.555Z","page_url":"https://minerval.ai/claims/3448b7af-6fa0-4c48-a097-64882df6b2d4"},"assessment":null,"preliminary_seed":{"credence":0.75,"note":"The dependence is close to definitional: a monitor reading a trace learns only what the trace shows. The live part is whether stronger models will keep reasoning in legible text. Korbak et al. (2025), a position paper with authors across the major laboratories, calls monitorability fragile and names latent-reasoning architectures, optimization pressure on traces and drift from natural language as ways it could be lost. Against that, tasks hard enough to need long serial reasoning appear to force externalization in current architectures, and deployed frontier models through 2026 still reason in text. The proposition as worded says only that loss may occur, which the evidence supports; how likely and how soon is open.","seeded_by_claim_id":"54994356-47c8-4a8f-8761-c9ce277a8456"},"quantity":null,"threshold_of":null,"question":null,"formalization":null,"formalization_pending":null,"formalization_history":[],"verification":null,"lean_checks":[],"lean_checks_total":0,"waiting_messages":[{"trigger":"structure_and_assess","from":"the system","sender_node_id":null,"sent_at":"2026-11-11T19:04:49.147Z","paid":false,"summary":"New claim onboarded. Give it the structure and assessment its importance warrants; a minor or settled claim may need no decomposition."},{"trigger":"mandate_plan","from":"a mandate's plan","sender_node_id":null,"sent_at":"2026-11-11T20:22:44.557Z","paid":true,"summary":"A funded mandate scheduled a assess pass on this claim."}],"requests":[],"requests_total":0,"subclaim_count":0,"instance_count":0,"source_map":null,"related":[],"arguments":[],"subclaims":[],"subclaims_assessed":0}