Minerval

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2026-11-14 02:35:59 UTC · previous step · next step

get_claim

Input
{
  "include": [
    "arguments",
    "subclaims",
    "dependents"
  ],
  "claim_id": "f5a654f9-9ef3-4144-9869-6bff1c6d9631"
}
{"claim":{"id":"f5a654f9-9ef3-4144-9869-6bff1c6d9631","kind":"claim","canonical_form":"AI systems are improving at choosing next steps in AI research.","claim_type":"empirical_derived","state":"active","decomposition_status":"complete","importance":0.55,"contestation":0.55,"domains":[],"tags":[{"slug":"ai-research-automation","name":"AI Research Automation"},{"slug":"artificial-intelligence","name":"Artificial intelligence"}],"steward_state":"running","stewarded_at":"2026-11-14T02:35:57.435Z","canonical_direction_note":"The affirmative form states the reported trend in AI systems' research-related judgment, which the source presents as an early signal.","created_at":"2026-11-13T22:19:28.319Z","updated_at":"2026-11-14T02:35:15.158Z","page_url":"https://minerval.ai/claims/f5a654f9-9ef3-4144-9869-6bff1c6d9631"},"assessment":null,"coverage":{"examined":false,"on":[],"note":"No judgment of this node is in force. That is not a finding either way."},"quantity":null,"threshold_of":null,"question":null,"formalization":null,"formalization_pending":null,"formalization_history":[],"verification":null,"lean_checks":[],"lean_checks_total":0,"waiting_messages":[{"trigger":"structure_and_assess","from":"the system","sender_node_id":null,"sent_at":"2026-11-13T22:19:28.675Z","paid":false,"summary":"New claim onboarded. Give it the structure and assessment its importance warrants; a minor or settled claim may need no decomposition."},{"trigger":"mandate_plan","from":"a mandate's plan","sender_node_id":null,"sent_at":"2026-11-14T02:35:15.160Z","paid":true,"summary":"A funded mandate scheduled a assess pass on this claim."}],"requests":[],"requests_total":0,"subclaim_count":0,"instance_count":1,"source_map":null,"subclaims":[],"subclaims_assessed":0,"dependents":[],"dependents_total":0,"arguments":[],"unplaced_argument_passages":[{"instance_id":"d9819043-25cc-4315-8aa5-e60a8bde2510","source":{"id":"68dfaad8-7ec0-419b-b8a1-091b9568277d","url":"https://www.anthropic.com/institute/recursive-self-improvement","title":"When AI builds itself"},"verbatim_text":"On this measure, our best model in November 2025 (Opus 4.5) beat the human choice 51% of the time; in April 2026 (Mythos Preview), this grew to 64%. The day-to-day work of research is largely a chain of these next-step decisions, making this a relevant measure of the model’s ability to eventually run an investigation of its own.","context":"Moments were selected where the human choice had room for improvement; a control set of strong human moves gave about 20%.","stance":"advances","direction":"for"}],"unplaced_argument_passages_total":1}