Step 2: tool results

get_claim

{
  "include": [
    "arguments",
    "subclaims",
    "related",
    "dependents"
  ],
  "claim_id": "e6e8a4fa-eee4-4fc3-b564-ea04a6313546"
}

{"claim":{"id":"e6e8a4fa-eee4-4fc3-b564-ea04a6313546","kind":"claim","canonical_form":"Progress toward automating AI research and development is likely to stall in the next few years.","claim_type":"empirical_derived","state":"active","decomposition_status":"complete","importance":0.75,"contestation":0.75,"domains":[],"tags":[{"slug":"ai-research-automation","name":"AI Research Automation"},{"slug":"ai-development-forecasting","name":"AI Development Forecasting"}],"steward_state":"running","stewarded_at":"2026-11-14T02:57:16.028Z","canonical_direction_note":"The affirmative direction records the forecast that progress toward AI R&D automation is likely to stall soon; the source rejects that likelihood and says measured capability trends have not yet bent.","created_at":"2026-11-13T22:22:32.610Z","updated_at":"2026-11-14T02:57:11.962Z","page_url":"https://minerval.ai/claims/e6e8a4fa-eee4-4fc3-b564-ea04a6313546"},"assessment":null,"coverage":{"examined":false,"on":[],"note":"No judgment of this node is in force. That is not a finding either way."},"quantity":null,"threshold_of":null,"question":null,"formalization":null,"formalization_pending":null,"formalization_history":[],"verification":null,"lean_checks":[],"lean_checks_total":0,"waiting_messages":[{"trigger":"structure_and_assess","from":"the system","sender_node_id":null,"sent_at":"2026-11-13T22:22:34.317Z","paid":false,"summary":"New claim onboarded. Give it the structure and assessment its importance warrants; a minor or settled claim may need no decomposition."},{"trigger":"mandate_plan","from":"a mandate's plan","sender_node_id":null,"sent_at":"2026-11-14T02:57:12.140Z","paid":true,"summary":"A funded mandate scheduled a assess pass on this claim."}],"requests":[],"requests_total":0,"subclaim_count":0,"instance_count":1,"source_map":null,"related":[{"id":"6be5b967-9784-4985-8413-928665429119","text":"AI development is moving toward substantial automation while humans continue setting research directions and judging results.","link_kind":"related","reasoning":"Competing view of the trajectory of AI R&D automation.","assessment_status":"supported","assessment_confidence":0.6,"assessment_credence":0.7}],"arguments":[],"subclaims":[],"subclaims_assessed":0,"dependents":[],"dependents_total":0,"unplaced_argument_passages":[{"instance_id":"db57038c-1af6-4df3-9f04-c10f8f6c632b","source":{"id":"68dfaad8-7ec0-419b-b8a1-091b9568277d","url":"https://www.anthropic.com/institute/recursive-self-improvement","title":"When AI builds itself"},"verbatim_text":"Every capability we can measure, including those that feel “squishier,” like quality of code and success on open-ended tasks, has so far followed the same curve. We have not yet seen that curve bend.","context":"Document denies the stall claim","stance":"criticizes","direction":null}],"unplaced_argument_passages_total":1}