Step 28: tool results

{
  "note": "The reported success rates follow from an assumption stated in the body of the paper: every oversight step must succeed, so the stepwise success rates are multiplied. The experiments measure single-step contests between prompted models and do not test whether a failed step can be caught or repaired later. The figures show what follows if errors compound and are not evidence that they do.",
  "support": "overstates",
  "deployment": "Reported as the headline result of a theory of nested oversight, from which the paper derives the optimal number of steps and overall success rates.",
  "instance_id": "e3fe2d86-4295-44b6-a030-084155fb89da",
  "source_read": true,
  "worth_reading": true,
  "worth_reading_reason": "The section on nested oversight and its appendix show what is assumed about independence of steps and how the reported success rates follow from the fitted single-step curves."
}