Step 9: assistant

thinking

Calls add_argument

{
  "name": "The argument from METR's attribution estimate",
  "stance": "for",
  "claim_id": "e4cbf66e-fd61-4ae6-8247-19b9b2fa87c9",
  "description": "METR's high-access assessment judged that about 80% of the October 2026 acceleration is due to AI, and that other factors would not explain the sustained acceleration."
}

Calls add_argument

{
  "name": "The argument from non-AI causes early in the period",
  "stance": "against",
  "claim_id": "e4cbf66e-fd61-4ae6-8247-19b9b2fa87c9",
  "description": "Non-AI factors drove much of the late-2025 acceleration and part may be catch-up from a below-frontier baseline, so the cumulative AI share since October 2025 may fall short of most."
}