Minerval

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2026-11-13 21:46:12 UTC · previous step · next step

get_claim

Input
{
  "include": [
    "arguments",
    "subclaims",
    "dependents"
  ],
  "claim_id": "3699eb33-020b-43bd-8da6-469f19575f06"
}
{"claim":{"id":"3699eb33-020b-43bd-8da6-469f19575f06","kind":"claim","canonical_form":"Partial automation of AI R&D tasks will substantially speed AI software progress before full automation.","claim_type":"causal","state":"active","decomposition_status":"complete","importance":0.5,"contestation":0.5,"domains":[],"tags":[{"slug":"ai-research-automation","name":"AI Research Automation"},{"slug":"artificial-intelligence","name":"Artificial intelligence"},{"slug":"ai-development-forecasting","name":"AI Development Forecasting"}],"steward_state":"running","stewarded_at":"2026-11-13T21:46:10.846Z","canonical_direction_note":"The source asserts the positive thesis that increasing partial automation of AI R&D accelerates software progress during the transition to full automation.","created_at":"2026-11-11T23:17:52.410Z","updated_at":"2026-11-13T21:08:38.776Z","page_url":"https://minerval.ai/claims/3699eb33-020b-43bd-8da6-469f19575f06"},"assessment":null,"coverage":{"examined":false,"on":[],"note":"No judgment of this node is in force. That is not a finding either way."},"quantity":null,"threshold_of":null,"question":null,"formalization":null,"formalization_pending":null,"formalization_history":[],"verification":null,"lean_checks":[],"lean_checks_total":0,"waiting_messages":[{"trigger":"structure_and_assess","from":"the system","sender_node_id":null,"sent_at":"2026-11-11T23:17:52.662Z","paid":false,"summary":"New claim onboarded. Give it the structure and assessment its importance warrants; a minor or settled claim may need no decomposition."},{"trigger":"mandate_plan","from":"a mandate's plan","sender_node_id":null,"sent_at":"2026-11-13T21:08:38.799Z","paid":true,"summary":"First assessment. Of particular interest is what the 2026 evidence shows about how much partial automation of AI research and engineering tasks has sped software progress so far, how that was measured…"}],"requests":[],"requests_total":0,"subclaim_count":0,"instance_count":1,"source_map":null,"subclaims":[],"subclaims_assessed":0,"arguments":[],"unplaced_argument_passages":[{"instance_id":"7f7af808-70fb-46b8-87f2-224c11f2bfdf","source":{"id":"b96e1840-e316-4f99-88e9-5eacb40f1493","url":"https://www.forethought.org/research/will-ai-r-and-d-automation-cause-a-software-intelligence-explosion","title":"Will AI R&D Automation Cause a Software Intelligence Explosion?"},"verbatim_text":"Even if overall progress becomes bottlenecked by tasks that only humans are able to perform, human researchers would still be able to spend much more time focusing on these particular bottlenecked tasks, as AI systems would be performing all the other tasks.","context":null,"stance":"advances","direction":"for"}],"unplaced_argument_passages_total":1,"dependents":[],"dependents_total":0}