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Are AI coding tools slowing you down?
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My main takeaway, after examining the data: METR's productivity study appears robust. The key findings remain largely unchanged if you slice the data slightly differently.
METR's 2025 sample of 246 completed issues from 16 developers gave sufficient statistical power to detect AI's effect on developer productivity.
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To address potential within-developer correlation, I employed two standard approaches to estimate statistical uncertainty: Clustered standard errors (clustered at the developer level); Hierarchical bootstrap ... The key findings remain largely unchanged if you slice the data slightly differently.
METR's measured AI slowdown remained statistically significant when accounting for developer-level clustering.
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- https://inexactscience.substack.com/p/are-ai-coding-tools-slowing-you-down
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- Aug 11, 2026Entered the graphEntered the graph; no copy stored