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Measuring no CoT math time horizon (single forward pass)
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I find that Opus 4.5 has a no-CoT 50% reliability time horizon of 3.5 minutes and that time horizon has been doubling every 9 months.
Frontier language models' no-chain-of-thought task-completion time horizon has grown steadily across model generations since 2019.
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- https://blog.redwoodresearch.org/p/measuring-no-cot-math-time-horizon
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- Nov 1, 2026Entered the graphEntered the graph; no copy stored