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The software intelligence explosion debate needs experiments

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Here we see a lot of probability on compounding returns. But the uncertainty is very large, and our range of estimates straddle the key threshold of r=1. So at face value, the software intelligence explosion seems quite plausible — at the very least, it's hard to rule out.

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if F(L,K) is a production function such that both inputs are necessary for sustained growth, then even if L is increasing due to more simulated AIs, if experimental compute K

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  1. Nov 3, 2026Entered the graphEntered the graph; no copy stored