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METR Time Horizon: Latest Numbers Explained
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the 21 models released since 2024 give 3.5 months (95% CI 3.2 to 3.8), close to the 105 days in METR's own risk report
Doubling time, in days, of the 50%-task-completion horizon of frontier AI models released from 2024 onward on METR's software task suite
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- https://iqmetrics.org/news/metr-time-horizon-explained-the-latest-numbers-and-why-it-is-not-an-iq/
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- Nov 1, 2026Entered the graphEntered the graph; no copy stored