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Think Fast: Estimating No-CoT Task-Completion Time Horizons of Frontier AI Models
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We find that the no-CoT 50% TH of frontier models has been doubling roughly every year over the past six years, with GPT-5.5's TH reaching over 3 minutes and reasoning token horizon exceeding 1,500 tokens.
Frontier language models' no-chain-of-thought task-completion time horizon has grown steadily across model generations since 2019.
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