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Takeoff Forecast — AI 2027

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Text326 passages · 1 marked

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Overview

Now we’ve reached superhuman AI researcher, and it’s speeding up AI R&D by 25x. How long would it be until a superintelligent AI researcher (SIAR) is reached: an AI system that is better than the best human AI researchers to a 2x greater extent than the best human researchers are relative to the AGI company’s median researchers, while being 30x faster and more numerous.

Multiplier of the rate of AI software progress once AI research labor is fully automated, relative to human-only research, with compute on its prior growth trendUnassessed

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Superhuman AI researcher (SAR): An AI system that can do the job of the best human AI researcher but faster, and cheaply enough to run lots of copies. ... Now we’ve reached superhuman AI researcher, and it’s speeding up AI R&D by 25x.

AI systems will become capable of fully automating frontier AI research.Supported

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Takeoff Forecast — AI 2027

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Kind: report
Authors: Not recorded
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DOI: None
Link: https://ai-2027.com/research/takeoff-forecast
Archived copy: https://web.archive.org/web/20261017125904/https://ai-2027.com/research/takeoff-forecast
Stored text: 78,440 characters, retrieved Nov 11, 2026 · 72 sections, 326 passages
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Versions: One known
Copies: None recorded
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Facts checked: Nov 11, 2026

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Nov 11, 2026DividedSegmenter · Divided into 398 parts by its own structure
Nov 11, 2026FactsFacts fetcher · Facts looked up
Nov 11, 2026Entered the graphEntered the graph; copy stored