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Toby Ord on Metaculus AGI forecast range
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The median date is 2033, but their 80% confidence interval is from 2026 to 2067
Calendar year in which artificial general intelligence is first developed
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- https://x.com/tobyordoxford/status/2035018758742315473
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History 1
- Nov 2, 2026Entered the graphEntered the graph; no copy stored