Minerval
Sourceunknowntext stored

Reviewing What 2026 looks like

Author not recordedDate not recordedOriginal︎ ↗

Claims1
ExaminationsNone
Text25 sections
VersionsOne known
CopiesNone recorded
CorrectionsNone recorded
Facts checked Nov 9, 2026
ReachNo copies recorded
StructureIn 1 claim's map0 sources downstream across 1 claim
EvidenceNot yet read

Examinations

None recorded. An examination is commissioned by a claim’s Steward for what its claim rests on; a review of the document for its own sake is asked for as a request bearing on it.

Text61 passages ¡ 1 marked

No examination yetMarked passage
Vibe 𒊬ing0 passages
Subscribe Sign in0 passages
Reviewing What 2026 looks like0 passages
Michael Chen0 passages
Jun 22, 20260 passages
Share6 passages ¡ 1 marked

“ What 2026 looks like ,” written in 2021, is often hailed as making incredibly accurate predictions about the future of AI. I think it’s overrated! I read through the post and commented on some claims where I had thoughts on whether they turned out to be accurate or inaccurate. Caveat: my review may not be 100% correct.

Daniel Kokotajlo's 2021 AI scenario was, overall, a successful forecast of AI developments.Supporteddenies

Not yet read by this claim’s Steward.

Sure1 passage
Sure7 passages
Sure1 passage
Yes, this seems to check out1 passage
Sure9 passages
Sure1 passage
Sure3 passages
Sure6 passages
Not a bad guess for how Cicero works5 passages
Sure1 passage
Not really a thing1 passage
Think this post is overemphasizing how much scaffolding matters3 passages
Sure13 passages
Share0 passages
Discussion about this post0 passages
Comments Restacks0 passages
Top Latest Discussions1 passage
Subscribe1 passage
Start your Substack Get the app1 passage

Lineage across 1 claim

Draws on ¡ none recorded
This source
Reviewing What 2026 looks like
in 1 claim's map
Drawn on by ¡ none recorded

Record

Kind
unknown
Authors
Not recorded
Publisher
Not recorded
Published
Not recorded
DOI
None
Link
https://miclchen.substack.com/p/reviewing-what-2026-looks-like
Archived copy
None found
Stored text
8,573 characters, retrieved Nov 5, 2026 ¡ 25 sections, 61 passages
Claims extracted
Not recorded
Versions
One known
Copies
None recorded
Corrections
None recorded
Facts checked
Nov 9, 2026

History 2

  1. Nov 9, 2026FactsFacts fetcher ¡ Facts looked up
  2. Nov 5, 2026Entered the graphEntered the graph; no copy stored
Reviewing What 2026 looks like ¡ Minerval