argumentA line of reasoning from premises to a conclusion. Like a claim, it belongs to no one who makes it.constitution →
Limits of safety arguments
forThis argument, if it holds, bears in favour of the claim.constitution →Published LHC black hole risk analyses do not establish that catastrophic risk is negligible.
The argument
Given that linked claim, a theoretical risk analysis cannot certify a catastrophe probability far below the chance that the analysis itself is flawed, so published analyses alone cannot establish that the risk is negligible in the strongest sense.
Does it work?
Not yet evaluated.
Premises
- SupportedThe evidence favors the claim, but the examination is incomplete or the evidence is indirect.constitution →The probability of error in a safety argument bounds the confidence it can provide about low-probability risks
Where it is made
Passages where sources make, criticize or mention this argument. They record where it appears, not how strong it is, and none has precedence over another.
No source is recorded as making it.