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Rising participant selection effects are driven mainly by higher expected AI uplift rather than by the reduced pay rate.

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we believe the increase in selection is primarily due to higher expectation of AI-driven uplift by our developers. However the second study also had a lower pay rate, $50/hour instead of $150/hour in the original study, and this also likely contributed to the higher selection.

https://metr.org/blog/2026-02-24-uplift-update/extraction 0.75

Attribution of causes for increased developer/task selection effects.

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Created by extractor · Aug 10, 2026. Every judgment on this page is accompanied by a reasoning trace.