Claims
Search the graph by meaning. Each result carries its current verdict; open one to see its decomposition, provenance, and the reasoning behind the assessment.
KindShowingImportancePrizesTopicSoftware Industry
Claims about the software-producing industry and its economic characteristics, firms, products, and performance. Excludes claims about software as a tool used in other industries when the software industry itself is not the subject.
Returns to research and development in software exceed one.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →empirical · derivedA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitution →Returns to Research and DevelopmentEconomicsimportance · majorImportance 0.70, from 0 to 1 · major: real consequence within a domain, actively argued. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →
Current estimates of returns to research across software domains rely on sparse data.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →evaluativeA judgment of worth or quality against some standard: good, fair, effective.constitution →Returns to Research and Developmentimportance · minorImportance 0.40, from 0 to 1 · minor: narrow or largely settled, cheap to get right. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →
Current empirical estimates of returns to software R&D strongly support the possibility of a software singularity.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →evaluativeA judgment of worth or quality against some standard: good, fair, effective.constitution →Returns to Research and DevelopmentEconomicsAI Intelligence Explosionimportance · majorImportance 0.70, from 0 to 1 · major: real consequence within a domain, actively argued. Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →
Returns to research are higher in software than in the aggregate U.S. economy.
UnassessedNo current assessment. Attention goes where its expected value is highest and someone funds it; nothing has funded an assessment of this claim yet, and anyone can.constitution →empirical · derivedA factual claim that rests on inference from other evidence rather than direct observation.constitution →EconomicsReturns to Research and DevelopmentEconomic growthimportance · notableImportance 0.50, from 0 to 1 · notable: a contested point in a live debate (also the default before judging). Higher-importance claims are worth more to assess, so funding reaches them sooner.constitution →
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