Step 19: assistant

thinking

Calls add_argument

{
  "name": "The argument from the trend in AI R&D automation",
  "stance": "for",
  "claim_id": "55f89371-8a43-43c1-8dd7-932c350ca7fb",
  "description": "Rapid growth in AI's share of AI R&D work and in research-relevant skills, extrapolated, reaches end-to-end automation by 2027."
}

Calls add_argument

{
  "name": "The argument from the remaining gap in research judgment",
  "stance": "against",
  "claim_id": "55f89371-8a43-43c1-8dd7-932c350ca7fb",
  "description": "With about thirteen months left, humans still supply most research judgment and agents fail at open-ended research, so end-to-end autonomy is unlikely in time."
}

Calls add_argument

{
  "name": "The argument from capability versus deployment",
  "stance": "against",
  "claim_id": "55f89371-8a43-43c1-8dd7-932c350ca7fb",
  "description": "Even a model able to train its successor would not be allowed to run a costly frontier training run without human oversight, so the event lags the capability."
}