steward run 37393745

Setup

Claude Opus 5.5 claude-opus-5-5 · up to 16384 tokens a turn

• constitution constitution v8
• role claim-steward v8
• tool search_similar_claims v1
• tool get_claim v10
• tool get_claim_instances v2
• tool get_contribution_details v2
• tool get_claim_dependents v1
• tool read_page v2
• tool view_image v1
• tool read_arxiv_source v1
• tool update_claim_assessment v1
• tool record_claim_instance v3
• tool update_claim_instance v1
• tool detach_claim_instance v1
• tool reattach_claim_instance v1
• tool set_instance_order v1
• tool update_canonical_form v1
• tool add_argument v1
• tool write_argument v1
• tool evaluate_argument v1
• tool add_relationship_edge v1
• tool add_related_claim v1
• tool add_decomposition_edge v1
• tool add_parent_claim v1
• tool propose_parent_edge v1
• tool set_claim_importance v1
• tool set_claim_domains v1
• tool log_stewardship_decision v1
• tool notify_steward v1
• tool escalate_to_curator v5
• tool remove_subclaim_edge v1
• tool set_edge_relation v1
• tool ungroup_subclaim v1
• tool revise_argument v1
• tool retire_argument v1
• tool record_argument_instance v3
• tool place_argument_passage v1
• tool answer_messages v1
• tool read_message v1
• tool commission v7
• tool petition_mandate v3
• tool wait_for_answers v2
• tool query_sql v2
• tool set_quantity_definition v1
• tool record_estimate v2
• tool update_quantity_estimate v1
• tool record_quantity_reading v2
• tool set_argument_shows v1
• tool record_cut v1
• tool file_request v2
• tool list_requests v2
• tool revise_request v1
• tool close_request v1
• tool get_source_context v1
• tool match_claim v3
• tool load_skill v1
• tool cost_sheet v1
• tool lean_search v1
• tool lean_elaborate v1
• tool lean_check v1
• tool publish_formalization v1
• tool get_proof_attempt v1
• tool mark_problem_solved_by_platform v1
• tool get_prize_claim v1
• tool decide_prize_claim v1
• tool provenance_get_map v6
• tool provenance_read_source v2
• tool provenance_record_reading v7
• tool provenance_record_edge v6
• tool provenance_record_source_relationship v1
• tool provenance_record_root v1
• tool provenance_write_map v1
• tool provenance_cite_findings v1
• tool record_source_interest v1
• tool get_research_run v1
• tool raise_issue v1
• tool update_issue v1
• tool search_issues v1
• tool get_issue v2
• tool note_finding v7
• tool search_findings v1
• tool web_search v1
• tool code_execution v1

Steps

0. prompt Setup: claude-opus-5-5, 81 tool(s). Opening: You have been triggered to steward a claim. Today's date: 2026-11-14 Trigger: structure_and_assess Claim ID: 55f89371-8…
1. assistant calls get_claim, get_claim_instances [tool_use]
2. tool results get_claim, get_claim_instances returned: {"claim":{"id":"55f89371-8a43-43c1-8dd7-932c350ca7fb","kind":"claim","canonical_form":"By the end of 2027, a frontier A…
3. assistant calls search_similar_claims, provenance_read_source [tool_use]
4. tool results search_similar_claims, provenance_read_source returned: { "query": "AI systems autonomously conduct AI research and train successor models; automated AI R&D timeline", "result…
5. assistant calls provenance_read_source [tool_use]
6. tool results provenance_read_source returned: {"success":true,"source":{"id":"87406e11-4df5-49b3-8558-11e864316894","url":"https://importai.substack.com/p/import-ai-…
7. assistant calls get_claim_instances, search_similar_claims [tool_use]
8. tool results get_claim_instances, search_similar_claims returned: { "claim_id": "5e4c99e3-f697-45fd-b79e-d75cb33a5732", "total": 1, "limit": 20, "offset": 0, "has_more": false, "instanc…
9. assistant calls query_sql [tool_use]
10. tool results query_sql returned: {"success":true,"columns":["id","url","title","published_date"],"rows":[["87406e11-4df5-49b3-8558-11e864316894","https:…
11. assistant calls query_sql [tool_use]
12. tool results query_sql returned: {"success":true,"columns":["id","url","title","published_date"],"rows":[["aca3a46b-00d2-4dd6-bcc0-43f4d7eb3320","https:…
13. assistant calls provenance_read_source [tool_use]
14. tool results provenance_read_source returned: {"success":true,"source":{"id":"fb0305b4-8b14-4a54-b15b-4a6c0193a033","url":"https://jack-clark.net/2026/10/12/import-a…
15. assistant calls provenance_read_source [tool_use]
16. tool results provenance_read_source returned: {"success":true,"source":{"id":"ece6f61a-093f-4e2c-ba9d-801d19e6370e","url":"https://forecastingresearch.substack.com/p…
17. assistant calls match_claim, match_claim [tool_use]
18. tool results match_claim, match_claim returned: {"outcome":"new","is_match":false,"matched_claim_id":null,"instance_stance":"affirms","new_canonical_form":"Human resea…
19. assistant calls add_argument, add_argument, add_argument [tool_use]
20. tool results add_argument, add_argument, add_argument returned: {"success":true,"message":"Created argument \"The argument from the trend in AI R&D automation\" (for) on claim 55f8937…
21. assistant calls add_relationship_edge, add_relationship_edge, add_relationship_edge, add_decomposition_edge [tool_use]
22. tool results add_relationship_edge, add_relationship_edge, add_relationship_edge, add_decomposition_edge returned: {"success":true,"message":"Linked existing claim a3a7a95b-f3fb-4cf8-a605-cbe3bee834db as a subclaim of 55f89371-8a43-43…
23. assistant "Now written forms, and related link to the 2028 sibling."; calls write_argument, write_argument, write_argument, add_related_claim [tool_use]
24. tool results write_argument, write_argument, write_argument, add_related_claim returned: {"success":true,"message":"Written form saved for argument \"The argument from the trend in AI R&D automation\"."}
25. assistant calls update_claim_instance, record_claim_instance, record_claim_instance, place_argument_passage [tool_use]
26. tool results update_claim_instance, record_claim_instance, record_claim_instance, place_argument_passage returned: {"success":true,"instance_id":"35a7ac6e-93c8-4a3c-9a1e-df4412155423","updated":["speaker","publication","sourceDate","c…
27. assistant "Record the author's interest for both Clark sources."; calls record_source_interest, record_source_interest [tool_use]
28. tool results record_source_interest, record_source_interest returned: {"success":true,"id":"764cc4ad-3bee-40b3-be65-a464352fb996","source_id":"fb0305b4-8b14-4a54-b15b-4a6c0193a033","claim_i…
29. assistant calls update_claim_assessment [tool_use]
30. tool results update_claim_assessment returned: {"success":true,"message":"Assessment updated for claim 55f89371-8a43-43c1-8dd7-932c350ca7fb: doubtful (0.65) 3 named a…
31. assistant calls evaluate_argument, evaluate_argument, evaluate_argument, set_claim_importance [tool_use]
32. tool results evaluate_argument, evaluate_argument, evaluate_argument, set_claim_importance returned: {"success":true,"message":"Evaluation recorded for argument \"The argument from the trend in AI R&D automation\": sligh…
33. assistant calls log_stewardship_decision, answer_messages [tool_use]
34. tool results log_stewardship_decision, answer_messages returned: {"success":true,"message":"Stewardship decision logged for claim 55f89371-8a43-43c1-8dd7-932c350ca7fb: structured_and_a…
35. assistant calls notify_steward [tool_use]
36. tool results notify_steward returned: {"success":true,"message":"Sent to the Steward of 1 node(s) as a note. Each waits in that node's inbox, shown on its pa…
37. assistant "I've judged the claim **doubtful**: about a 12% chance that a frontier AI model will autonomously train its own successor by the end of 2027. I'm 0.65 confiden…" [end_turn]