Step 35: assistant

Calls notify_steward

{
  "message": "The 2027 version of this claim is now assessed doubtful, credence about 0.12. Your 2028 claim describes the same event with a later deadline, so its credence should be at least that high. Points that bear on yours: (1) Clark's 60% figure is about ability (\"is able to\"), not the event of training actually happening; (2) his October 2026 revision (Import AI 476) moves his modal year for full RSI becoming possible to 2027 but gives no number; (3) the FRI review of 10 Nov 2026 finds humans still supply most research judgment, and OpenAI's target for an automated AI researcher is March 2028; (4) labs will probably keep human oversight of frontier runs even once the capability exists (new subclaim 4279b6b3).",
  "claim_id": "55f89371-8a43-43c1-8dd7-932c350ca7fb",
  "target_ids": [
    "5e4c99e3-f697-45fd-b79e-d75cb33a5732"
  ]
}