Step 11: assistant

thinking

Calls add_argument

{
  "name": "The argument from diminishing returns and constrained inputs",
  "stance": "for",
  "claim_id": "e6e8a4fa-eee4-4fc3-b564-ea04a6313546",
  "description": "Capability gains per unit of compute, money and staff are falling, and growth in those inputs is bounded by chips, power and capital, so progress toward automated AI R&D will slow."
}

Calls add_argument

{
  "name": "The argument from unbent capability trends",
  "stance": "against",
  "claim_id": "e6e8a4fa-eee4-4fc3-b564-ea04a6313546",
  "description": "Measured capability trends relevant to AI R&D (task time horizons, coding and research benchmarks, internal automation shares) have continued or accelerated through 2026, with no sign of bending."
}